Statistics / Football / Belgium. Second Amateur Division - ACFF / Stade Mouscronnois vs Entité Manageoise

Stade Mouscronnois vs Entité Manageoise Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 52%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stade Mouscronnois Stade Mouscronnois ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11258473

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Stade Mouscronnois win · Stade Mouscronnois 3–2 Entité Manageoise
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Second Amateur Division - ACFF
  • Fixture: Stade Mouscronnois vs Entité Manageoise
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Stade Mouscronnois 1.36 — Entité Manageoise 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Second Amateur Division - ACFF Second Amateur Division - ACFF — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Jette 6 4 2 0 14
2 Ganshoren 6 4 1 1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 4 1 1 13
4 Braine 6 4 0 2 12
5 Stade Verviers 6 3 2 1 11
6 Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 11
7 AS Eupen II 6 3 2 1 11
8 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 10
9 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 3 1 2 10
10 Richelle United 6 3 0 3 9
11 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 9
12 Huy 6 2 2 2 8
13 RUS Binche 6 2 2 2 8
14 Stockay-Warfusée 7 2 2 3 8
15 Acren-Lessines 6 1 1 4 4
16 Union Namur 6 1 1 4 4
17 Entité Manageoise 7 0 2 5 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ganshoren 6 19 10 +9 13
2 Stade Mouscronnois 7 17 14 +3 11
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 16 9 +7 13
4 AS Eupen II 6 16 13 +3 11
5 Jette 6 14 6 +8 14
6 Stade Verviers 6 13 6 +7 11
7 Richelle United 6 13 11 +2 9
8 La Calamine 7 12 10 +2 10
9 RUS Binche 6 12 15 -3 8
10 Ostiches 7 10 11 -1 9
11 Entité Manageoise 7 10 19 -9 2
12 Braine 6 9 5 +4 12
13 Acren-Lessines 6 9 12 -3 4
14 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 7 8 -1 10
15 Huy 6 7 9 -2 8
16 Stockay-Warfusée 7 6 9 -3 8
17 Union Namur 6 4 14 -10 4
18 Aywaille 7 3 16 -13 1