Statistics / Football / Bosnia. Premijer Liga / Velež vs Siroki Brijeg

Velež vs Siroki Brijeg Statistics & Analysis

Oct 09, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Velež Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13239001

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Velež 0–0 Siroki Brijeg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premijer Liga
  • Fixture: Velež vs Siroki Brijeg
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Velež 1.34 — Siroki Brijeg 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 48.0% · Probability edge: +6.5 pts · Est. EV: +6.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premijer Liga Premijer Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zrinjski 8 7 0 1 21
2 Borac Banja Luka 8 6 1 1 19
3 FK Sarajevo 8 4 1 3 13
4 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 8 3 3 2 12
5 Siroki Brijeg 8 2 3 3 9
6 Sloga Doboj 8 2 3 3 9
7 Čelik 8 2 2 4 8
8 BSK Banja Luka 8 2 2 4 8
9 Velež 8 2 1 5 7
10 Radnik Bijeljina 8 0 4 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zrinjski 8 17 5 +12 21
2 Borac Banja Luka 8 15 7 +8 19
3 BSK Banja Luka 8 12 14 -2 8
4 Radnik Bijeljina 8 12 19 -7 4
5 Čelik 8 11 12 -1 8
6 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 8 10 9 +1 12
7 Siroki Brijeg 8 10 11 -1 9
8 FK Sarajevo 8 6 5 +1 13
9 Velež 8 6 14 -8 7
10 Sloga Doboj 8 5 8 -3 9