Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / Karlsruhe II vs Balingen

Karlsruhe II vs Balingen Statistics & Analysis

Karlsruhe II Karlsruhe II
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 74%
Balingen Balingen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Balingen Karlsruhe II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11667380

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Karlsruhe II win · Karlsruhe II 2–1 Balingen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
  • Fixture: Karlsruhe II vs Balingen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Karlsruhe II 1.25 — Balingen 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Oberachern 11 7 2 2 23
2 Backnang 10 6 3 1 21
3 FC 08 Villingen 10 6 2 2 20
4 Reutlingen 11 6 2 3 20
5 Young Boys Reutlingen 10 5 4 1 19
6 CFR Pforzheim 11 5 2 4 17
7 FC Holzhausen 11 5 2 4 17
8 Bahlinger SC 11 4 5 2 17
9 FV Ravensburg 11 4 4 3 16
10 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 5 1 4 16
11 Karlsruhe II 10 3 4 3 13
12 Balingen 11 3 3 5 12
13 Essingen 11 3 3 5 12
14 Teningen 11 4 0 7 12
15 TSV Singen 10 3 1 6 10
16 FC Nöttingen 11 3 0 8 9
17 Türkspor Neckarsulm 10 3 0 7 9
18 Normannia Gmünd 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Backnang 10 25 12 +13 21
2 FC Nöttingen 11 24 20 +4 9
3 Young Boys Reutlingen 10 23 13 +10 19
4 Oberachern 11 22 9 +13 23
5 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 22 23 -1 16
6 FC 08 Villingen 10 21 11 +10 20
7 CFR Pforzheim 11 21 19 +2 17
8 FV Ravensburg 11 19 14 +5 16
9 Reutlingen 11 18 15 +3 20
10 FC Holzhausen 11 18 17 +1 17
11 Teningen 11 18 27 -9 12
12 Balingen 11 17 18 -1 12
13 Bahlinger SC 11 16 16 0 17
14 Karlsruhe II 10 16 18 -2 13
15 Essingen 11 13 18 -5 12
16 TSV Singen 10 13 19 -6 10
17 Türkspor Neckarsulm 10 10 26 -16 9
18 Normannia Gmünd 10 8 29 -21 3
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany. Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Predictions