FC 08 Villingen vs Essingen Statistics & Analysis

FC 08 Villingen

Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.31

0 1.29

xG Accuracy: 64%

Essingen

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 FC 08 Villingen FC 08 Villingen ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11233594

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FC 08 Villingen win · FC 08 Villingen 1–0 Essingen

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Fixture: FC 08 Villingen vs Essingen
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): FC 08 Villingen 1.31 — Essingen 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Oberachern	10	7	2	1	23
2	Backnang	10	6	3	1	21
3	FC 08 Villingen	10	6	2	2	20
4	Reutlingen	10	6	2	2	20
5	FV Ravensburg	10	4	4	2	16
6	Young Boys Reutlingen	9	4	4	1	16
7	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	5	1	4	16
8	CFR Pforzheim	9	4	2	3	14
9	Bahlinger SC	10	3	5	2	14
10	FC Holzhausen	10	4	2	4	14
11	Balingen	9	3	3	3	12
12	Teningen	10	4	0	6	12
13	Karlsruhe II	9	2	4	3	10
14	TSV Singen	10	3	1	6	10
15	Essingen	10	2	3	5	9
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	3	0	7	9
17	FC Nöttingen	10	2	0	8	6
18	Normannia Gmünd	10	1	0	9	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Backnang	10	25	12	+13	21
2	Oberachern	10	22	8	+14	23
3	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	22	23	-1	16
4	FC 08 Villingen	10	21	11	+10	20
5	FC Nöttingen	10	21	19	+2	6
6	FV Ravensburg	10	18	11	+7	16
7	Young Boys Reutlingen	9	18	12	+6	16
8	Reutlingen	10	17	12	+5	20
9	CFR Pforzheim	9	17	12	+5	14
10	Teningen	10	16	24	-8	12
11	Balingen	9	15	13	+2	12
12	Bahlinger SC	10	15	16	-1	14
13	FC Holzhausen	10	15	16	-1	14
14	Karlsruhe II	9	14	17	-3	10
15	TSV Singen	10	13	19	-6	10
16	Essingen	10	10	17	-7	9
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	10	26	-16	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	10	8	29	-21	3