1. FC Muhlhausen vs Türkspor Neckarsulm Statistics & Analysis

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1. FC Muhlhausen

Sep 20, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 78%

Türkspor Neckarsulm

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 1. FC Muhlhausen 1. FC Muhlhausen ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8670980

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result 1. FC Muhlhausen win · 1. FC Muhlhausen 2–1 Türkspor Neckarsulm

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Fixture: 1. FC Muhlhausen vs Türkspor Neckarsulm
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): 1. FC Muhlhausen 1.34 — Türkspor Neckarsulm 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Oberachern	9	6	2	1	20
2	Reutlingen	9	6	1	2	19
3	Backnang	9	5	3	1	18
4	FC 08 Villingen	9	5	2	2	17
5	1. FC Muhlhausen	9	5	1	3	16
6	Young Boys Reutlingen	8	4	3	1	15
7	FC Holzhausen	9	4	2	3	14
8	Bahlinger SC	9	3	5	1	14
9	FV Ravensburg	9	3	4	2	13
10	Balingen	9	3	3	3	12
11	Teningen	9	4	0	5	12
12	CFR Pforzheim	8	3	2	3	11
13	Karlsruhe II	9	2	4	3	10
14	TSV Singen	9	3	1	5	10
15	Essingen	9	2	3	4	9
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	9	3	0	6	9
17	FC Nöttingen	9	1	0	8	3
18	Normannia Gmünd	9	0	0	9	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Backnang	9	22	11	+11	18
2	1. FC Muhlhausen	9	22	21	+1	16
3	FC 08 Villingen	9	20	11	+9	17
4	Oberachern	9	19	8	+11	20
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	8	18	12	+6	15
6	Reutlingen	9	17	12	+5	19
7	Teningen	9	16	19	-3	12
8	CFR Pforzheim	8	15	12	+3	11
9	FC Holzhausen	9	15	13	+2	14
10	Balingen	9	15	13	+2	12
11	Bahlinger SC	9	14	13	+1	14
12	Karlsruhe II	9	14	17	-3	10
13	FV Ravensburg	9	13	11	+2	13
14	TSV Singen	9	11	16	-5	10
15	FC Nöttingen	9	11	19	-8	3
16	Essingen	9	10	16	-6	9
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	9	10	16	-6	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	9	5	27	-22	0