Teningen vs Essingen Statistics & Analysis

Teningen

Sep 19, 2026 - 13:30

2 1.31

1 1.29

xG Accuracy: 76%

Essingen

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Teningen Teningen ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8678238

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Teningen win · Teningen 2–1 Essingen

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Fixture: Teningen vs Essingen
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Teningen 1.31 — Essingen 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Oberachern	9	6	2	1	20
2	Reutlingen	8	6	1	1	19
3	Backnang	9	5	3	1	18
4	FC 08 Villingen	8	5	1	2	16
5	1. FC Muhlhausen	8	5	1	2	16
6	Young Boys Reutlingen	7	4	2	1	14
7	FC Holzhausen	9	4	2	3	14
8	Bahlinger SC	9	3	5	1	14
9	Balingen	9	3	3	3	12
10	CFR Pforzheim	8	3	2	3	11
11	FV Ravensburg	8	2	4	2	10
12	Karlsruhe II	9	2	4	3	10
13	Teningen	8	3	0	5	9
14	Türkspor Neckarsulm	8	3	0	5	9
15	Essingen	9	2	3	4	9
16	TSV Singen	8	2	1	5	7
17	FC Nöttingen	9	1	0	8	3
18	Normannia Gmünd	9	0	0	9	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Backnang	9	22	11	+11	18
2	1. FC Muhlhausen	8	21	18	+3	16
3	Oberachern	9	19	8	+11	20
4	FC 08 Villingen	8	19	10	+9	16
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	7	17	11	+6	14
6	Reutlingen	8	16	9	+7	19
7	CFR Pforzheim	8	15	12	+3	11
8	FC Holzhausen	9	15	13	+2	14
9	Balingen	9	15	13	+2	12
10	Bahlinger SC	9	14	13	+1	14
11	Karlsruhe II	9	14	17	-3	10
12	Teningen	8	14	18	-4	9
13	FC Nöttingen	9	11	19	-8	3
14	FV Ravensburg	8	10	10	0	10
15	Essingen	9	10	16	-6	9
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	8	9	14	-5	9
17	TSV Singen	8	8	15	-7	7
18	Normannia Gmünd	9	5	27	-22	0