Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Persha Liga / Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka Statistics & Analysis

Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv
Oct 09, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 68%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12678469

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Metal Kharkiv 2–2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Persha Liga
  • Fixture: Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Metal Kharkiv 1.29 — Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Persha Liga Persha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 11 6 3 2 21
2 Kulykiv 11 6 2 3 20
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 20
4 Oleksandria 11 5 4 2 19
5 SK Poltava 11 5 3 3 18
6 Yarud Mariupol' 11 5 3 3 18
7 Lokomotiv Kyiv 11 4 4 3 16
8 Prykarpattia 11 4 3 4 15
9 Metal Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 11 3 5 3 14
11 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka II 11 4 0 7 12
13 Chernihiv 10 2 4 4 10
14 UCSA 11 2 4 5 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 8
16 Polissya II 11 1 4 6 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kulykiv 11 24 13 +11 20
2 SK Poltava 11 18 10 +8 18
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 18 14 +4 20
4 Oleksandria 11 16 10 +6 19
5 Polissya II 11 16 24 -8 7
6 Lokomotiv Kyiv 11 15 13 +2 16
7 UCSA 11 15 19 -4 10
8 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 11 14 8 +6 21
9 Yarud Mariupol' 11 14 12 +2 18
10 Metal Kharkiv 11 13 13 0 15
11 Prykarpattia 11 12 10 +2 15
12 Nyva Ternopil 11 12 10 +2 14
13 Kolos Kovalivka II 11 12 20 -8 12
14 Chernihiv 10 11 14 -3 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 11 29 -18 8
16 Inhulets 10 10 12 -2 14
Persha Liga Ukraine. Persha Liga Predictions