Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Persha Liga / Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk Statistics & Analysis

Polissya II Polissya II
Sep 14, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 52%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Polissya II Polissya II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 08, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7571126

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Polissya II win · Polissya II 3–2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Persha Liga
  • Fixture: Polissya II vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-14 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Polissya II 1.3 — Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Persha Liga Persha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kulykiv 9 5 2 2 17
2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 9 5 2 2 17
3 Oleksandria 9 4 4 1 16
4 SK Poltava 9 4 3 2 15
5 Prykarpattia 9 4 2 3 14
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 4 2 3 14
7 Yarud Mariupol' 9 4 2 3 14
8 Inhulets 8 4 2 2 14
9 Metal Kharkiv 9 4 1 4 13
10 Lokomotiv Kyiv 9 3 3 3 12
11 Nyva Ternopil 9 2 4 3 10
12 UCSA 9 2 4 3 10
13 Kolos Kovalivka II 8 3 0 5 9
14 Chernihiv 8 1 4 3 7
15 Polissya II 8 1 3 4 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kulykiv 9 19 9 +10 17
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 14 12 +2 14
3 SK Poltava 9 13 5 +8 15
4 Oleksandria 9 13 7 +6 16
5 Prykarpattia 9 12 9 +3 14
6 Yarud Mariupol' 9 12 11 +1 14
7 UCSA 9 12 14 -2 10
8 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 9 11 6 +5 17
9 Metal Kharkiv 9 11 11 0 13
10 Polissya II 8 11 14 -3 6
11 Inhulets 8 10 10 0 14
12 Lokomotiv Kyiv 9 9 9 0 12
13 Nyva Ternopil 9 9 9 0 10
14 Chernihiv 8 8 11 -3 7
15 Kolos Kovalivka II 8 8 15 -7 9
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 6 26 -20 2
Persha Liga Ukraine. Persha Liga Predictions