Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Persha Liga / Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil

Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil Statistics & Analysis

Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv
Aug 30, 2026 - 11:45
1 1.40
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 85%
Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Metal Kharkiv Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5289455

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Metal Kharkiv 1–1 Nyva Ternopil
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Persha Liga
  • Fixture: Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 11:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Metal Kharkiv 1.4 — Nyva Ternopil 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.3% · Implied: 46.1% · Probability edge: +8.2 pts · Est. EV: +11.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Persha Liga Persha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kulykiv 9 5 2 2 17
2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 9 5 2 2 17
3 Oleksandria 9 4 4 1 16
4 SK Poltava 9 4 3 2 15
5 Prykarpattia 9 4 2 3 14
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 4 2 3 14
7 Yarud Mariupol' 9 4 2 3 14
8 Inhulets 8 4 2 2 14
9 Metal Kharkiv 9 4 1 4 13
10 Lokomotiv Kyiv 9 3 3 3 12
11 Nyva Ternopil 9 2 4 3 10
12 UCSA 9 2 4 3 10
13 Kolos Kovalivka II 8 3 0 5 9
14 Chernihiv 8 1 4 3 7
15 Polissya II 8 1 3 4 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kulykiv 9 19 9 +10 17
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 14 12 +2 14
3 SK Poltava 9 13 5 +8 15
4 Oleksandria 9 13 7 +6 16
5 Prykarpattia 9 12 9 +3 14
6 Yarud Mariupol' 9 12 11 +1 14
7 UCSA 9 12 14 -2 10
8 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 9 11 6 +5 17
9 Metal Kharkiv 9 11 11 0 13
10 Polissya II 8 11 14 -3 6
11 Inhulets 8 10 10 0 14
12 Lokomotiv Kyiv 9 9 9 0 12
13 Nyva Ternopil 9 9 9 0 10
14 Chernihiv 8 8 11 -3 7
15 Kolos Kovalivka II 8 8 15 -7 9
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 6 26 -20 2
Persha Liga Ukraine. Persha Liga Predictions