Statistics / Football / Switzerland. AXA Women’s Super League / Yverdon vs Basel W

Yverdon vs Basel W Statistics & Analysis

Yverdon Yverdon
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.18
2 1.42
xG Accuracy: 52%
Basel W Basel W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Basel W Yverdon ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11253657

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Yverdon win · Yverdon 3–2 Basel W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: AXA Women’s Super League
  • Fixture: Yverdon vs Basel W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): Yverdon 1.18 — Basel W 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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AXA Women’s Super League AXA Women’s Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Servette Chênois W 8 6 1 1 19
2 Grasshopper W 8 5 2 1 17
3 Zürich W 8 4 3 1 15
4 Young Boys W 8 4 3 1 15
5 Basel W 8 3 3 2 12
6 Luzern W 8 3 2 3 11
7 Yverdon 8 2 2 4 8
8 Rapperswil Jona 8 2 2 4 8
9 St. Gallen W 8 1 1 6 4
10 Aarau 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Grasshopper W 8 23 8 +15 17
2 Zürich W 8 21 10 +11 15
3 Servette Chênois W 8 18 8 +10 19
4 Rapperswil Jona 8 15 20 -5 8
5 Young Boys W 8 14 10 +4 15
6 Yverdon 8 14 16 -2 8
7 Luzern W 8 13 11 +2 11
8 Basel W 8 12 10 +2 12
9 St. Gallen W 8 7 21 -14 4
10 Aarau 8 7 30 -23 1
AXA Women’s Super League Switzerland. AXA Women’s Super League Predictions