Grasshopper W vs Zürich W Statistics & Analysis

Grasshopper W

Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00

4 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 45%

Zürich W

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Grasshopper W Grasshopper W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10975598

Closing Odds 2.2

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Grasshopper W win · Grasshopper W 4–1 Zürich W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Zürich W (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 3.8 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Grasshopper W (1X2)	36.6	40.4	-3.8
Draw (1X2)	29.6	28.6	+1.1
Zürich W (1X2)	33.8	31.1	+2.7
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	52.0	-3.8
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	48.0	+3.8

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 48.0%. The difference — about 3.8 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Grasshopper W (1X2)	2.2	2.2
Draw (1X2)	3.11	3.11
Zürich W (1X2)	2.86	2.86
Over 2.5 goals	1.78	1.78
Under 2.5 goals	1.93	1.93

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: AXA Women’s Super League
Fixture: Grasshopper W vs Zürich W
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Grasshopper W 1.33 — Zürich W 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.1% · Probability edge: +4.7 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Grasshopper W & Zürich W!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

AXA Women’s Super League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Servette Chênois W	7	5	1	1	16
2	Zürich W	7	4	3	0	15
3	Grasshopper W	7	4	2	1	14
4	Young Boys W	7	3	3	1	12
5	Basel W	7	3	3	1	12
6	Luzern W	7	3	2	2	11
7	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	5
8	Rapperswil Jona	7	1	2	4	5
9	St. Gallen W	7	1	1	5	4
10	Aarau	7	0	1	6	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zürich W	7	20	6	+14	15
2	Grasshopper W	7	19	7	+12	14
3	Servette Chênois W	7	15	8	+7	16
4	Young Boys W	7	12	9	+3	12
5	Luzern W	7	12	9	+3	11
6	Yverdon	7	11	14	-3	5
7	Basel W	7	10	7	+3	12
8	Rapperswil Jona	7	10	18	-8	5
9	St. Gallen W	7	7	18	-11	4
10	Aarau	7	5	25	-20	1