Statistics / Football / Poland. Ekstraliga Women / Pogon Szczecin W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

Pogon Szczecin W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Statistics & Analysis

Pogon Szczecin W Pogon Szczecin W
Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.57
2 1.03
xG Accuracy: 66%
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Pogon Szczecin W Rekord Bielsko-Biala W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11660213

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rekord Bielsko-Biala W win · Pogon Szczecin W 1–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ekstraliga Women
  • Fixture: Pogon Szczecin W vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 23.3%
  • xG (showing): Pogon Szczecin W 1.57 — Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 1.03 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ekstraliga Women Ekstraliga Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 GKS Katowice W 6 5 1 0 16
2 Górnik Łęczna W 6 5 0 1 15
3 Akademia Piłkarska LG 7 4 1 2 13
4 Pogon Szczecin W 6 4 0 2 12
5 Czarni Sosnowiec W 4 3 1 0 10
6 Legia W 6 3 0 3 9
7 UJ Krakow W 5 2 1 2 7
8 Lech Poznan W 6 1 1 4 4
9 Slask Wroclaw W 6 0 3 3 3
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 6 0 3 3 3
11 UKS Łódź 5 0 2 3 2
12 Sleza Wroclaw W 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 GKS Katowice W 6 21 6 +15 16
2 Górnik Łęczna W 6 17 5 +12 15
3 Pogon Szczecin W 6 15 7 +8 12
4 Legia W 6 14 17 -3 9
5 Czarni Sosnowiec W 4 13 3 +10 10
6 Akademia Piłkarska LG 7 11 9 +2 13
7 Lech Poznan W 6 8 17 -9 4
8 UJ Krakow W 5 6 9 -3 7
9 Slask Wroclaw W 6 6 13 -7 3
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 6 6 15 -9 3
11 Sleza Wroclaw W 5 4 12 -8 1
12 UKS Łódź 5 2 10 -8 2
Ekstraliga Women Poland. Ekstraliga Women Predictions