Alashkert vs Syunik Statistics & Analysis

Alashkert

Oct 16, 2026 - 13:00

5 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 34%

Syunik

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Alashkert Alashkert ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 10, 2026 · 01:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14534248

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Alashkert win · Alashkert 5–1 Syunik

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Alashkert vs Syunik
Kickoff: 2026-10-16 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Alashkert 1.36 — Syunik 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	FC Noah	8	8	0	0	24
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	19
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	5	3	0	18
4	Alashkert	8	4	3	1	15
5	Sardarapat	8	3	3	2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	3	2	3	11
7	Shirak	8	3	1	4	10
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	9
9	BKMA	8	2	2	4	8
10	Van	8	1	1	6	4
11	Gandzasar	8	1	0	7	3
12	Syunik	8	0	2	6	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	FC Noah	8	21	5	+16	24
2	Alashkert	8	18	6	+12	15
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	18	8	+10	18
4	Ararat-Armenia	8	17	8	+9	19
5	Sardarapat	8	14	12	+2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	12	10	+2	11
7	Shirak	8	11	10	+1	10
8	BKMA	8	8	10	-2	8
9	Gandzasar	8	8	20	-12	3
10	Ararat	8	6	13	-7	9
11	Van	8	4	21	-17	4
12	Syunik	8	3	17	-14	2