FC Urartu vs Ararat Statistics & Analysis

FC Urartu

Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.61

2 0.99

xG Accuracy: 68%

Ararat

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 FC Urartu Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13229829

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · FC Urartu 2–2 Ararat

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: FC Urartu vs Ararat
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 50.2% · Draw 28.0% · Away 21.7%
xG (showing): FC Urartu 1.61 — Ararat 0.99 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.2% · Probability edge: +7.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 51.8% · No 48.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.0%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	FC Noah	8	8	0	0	24
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	19
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	5	3	0	18
4	Alashkert	8	4	3	1	15
5	Sardarapat	8	3	3	2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	3	2	3	11
7	Shirak	8	3	1	4	10
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	9
9	BKMA	8	2	2	4	8
10	Van	8	1	1	6	4
11	Gandzasar	8	1	0	7	3
12	Syunik	8	0	2	6	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	FC Noah	8	21	5	+16	24
2	Alashkert	8	18	6	+12	15
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	18	8	+10	18
4	Ararat-Armenia	8	17	8	+9	19
5	Sardarapat	8	14	12	+2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	12	10	+2	11
7	Shirak	8	11	10	+1	10
8	BKMA	8	8	10	-2	8
9	Gandzasar	8	8	20	-12	3
10	Ararat	8	6	13	-7	9
11	Van	8	4	21	-17	4
12	Syunik	8	3	17	-14	2