Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Hessen / TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen

TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen Statistics & Analysis

TuBa Pohlheim TuBa Pohlheim
Oct 04, 2026 - 12:30
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
FC Gießen FC Gießen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 TuBa Pohlheim TuBa Pohlheim ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11665421

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result TuBa Pohlheim win · TuBa Pohlheim 2–1 FC Gießen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Hessen
  • Fixture: TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): TuBa Pohlheim 1.32 — FC Gießen 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Hessen Oberliga - Hessen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 25
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 22
4 Friedberg 12 6 3 3 21
5 Vfb Marburg 12 6 2 4 20
6 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20
7 Hünfelder SV 12 6 1 5 19
8 Darmstadt 98 II 12 5 3 4 18
9 TuBa Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 17
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 16
11 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 12 4 2 6 14
12 Kassel 12 4 2 6 14
13 Bayern Alzenau 12 3 4 5 13
14 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 12
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 8
17 1960 Hanau 11 1 4 6 7
18 FC Gießen 11 1 3 7 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 12 35 11 +24 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 34 23 +11 25
3 Darmstadt 98 II 12 27 17 +10 18
4 Eddersheim 11 26 18 +8 22
5 Friedberg 12 25 19 +6 21
6 Hünfelder SV 12 21 19 +2 19
7 Hadamar 11 20 18 +2 20
8 Fernwald 12 20 18 +2 16
9 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 12 19 26 -7 14
10 TuBa Pohlheim 11 18 19 -1 17
11 1960 Hanau 11 18 29 -11 7
12 Vfb Marburg 12 17 14 +3 20
13 Hummetroth 11 16 24 -8 9
14 Bayern Alzenau 12 14 18 -4 13
15 Baunatal 11 14 19 -5 12
16 FC Gießen 11 14 29 -15 6
17 Kassel 2 11 12 18 -6 8
18 Kassel 12 12 23 -11 14