Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Hessen / Eddersheim vs Friedberg

Eddersheim vs Friedberg Statistics & Analysis

Aug 12, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Eddersheim Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 01:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3093522

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Eddersheim 1–1 Friedberg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Hessen
  • Fixture: Eddersheim vs Friedberg
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-12 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Eddersheim 1.34 — Friedberg 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Hessen Oberliga - Hessen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 25
2 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 22
4 Friedberg 11 6 3 2 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20
6 Hünfelder SV 11 6 1 4 19
7 Vfb Marburg 10 5 2 3 17
8 TuBa Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 17
9 Darmstadt 98 II 11 4 3 4 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 15
11 Kassel 10 4 1 5 13
12 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 12
13 Bayern Alzenau 11 2 4 5 10
14 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 10 3 1 6 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 8
17 1960 Hanau 10 1 3 6 6
18 FC Gießen 11 1 3 7 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 34 20 +14 25
2 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 11 33 10 +23 23
3 Eddersheim 11 26 18 +8 22
4 Friedberg 11 24 17 +7 21
5 Darmstadt 98 II 11 24 17 +7 15
6 Hünfelder SV 11 21 16 +5 19
7 Hadamar 11 20 18 +2 20
8 Fernwald 11 18 16 +2 15
9 TuBa Pohlheim 11 18 19 -1 17
10 1960 Hanau 10 18 29 -11 6
11 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 10 16 24 -8 10
12 Hummetroth 11 16 24 -8 9
13 Vfb Marburg 10 15 13 +2 17
14 Baunatal 11 14 19 -5 12
15 FC Gießen 11 14 29 -15 6
16 Kassel 2 11 12 18 -6 8
17 Kassel 10 12 21 -9 13
18 Bayern Alzenau 11 11 18 -7 10