Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Hessen / FC Gießen vs Kassel 2

FC Gießen vs Kassel 2 Statistics & Analysis

FC Gießen FC Gießen
Aug 01, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.35
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 56%
⚽
Kassel 2
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Gießen Kassel 2 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1797203

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kassel 2 win · FC Gießen 0–2 Kassel 2
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Hessen
  • Fixture: FC Gießen vs Kassel 2
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-01 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): FC Gießen 1.35 — Kassel 2 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Hessen Oberliga - Hessen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Unter-Flockenbach 9 7 1 1 22
2 Eddersheim 9 5 3 1 18
3 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 9 5 2 2 17
4 TuBa Pohlheim 9 5 2 2 17
5 Vfb Marburg 9 5 2 2 17
6 Hadamar 9 5 2 2 17
7 Hünfelder SV 9 5 1 3 16
8 Darmstadt 98 II 9 4 3 2 15
9 Friedberg 9 4 3 2 15
10 Fernwald 9 3 4 2 13
11 Kassel 9 3 1 5 10
12 Kassel 2 9 2 2 5 8
13 Baunatal 9 2 2 5 8
14 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 9 2 1 6 7
15 1960 Hanau 9 1 3 5 6
16 FC Gießen 9 1 3 5 6
17 Bayern Alzenau 9 1 3 5 6
18 Hummetroth 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Unter-Flockenbach 9 29 12 +17 22
2 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 9 24 8 +16 17
3 Eddersheim 9 23 17 +6 18
4 Darmstadt 98 II 9 22 12 +10 15
5 Hadamar 9 18 16 +2 17
6 Hünfelder SV 9 17 13 +4 16
7 TuBa Pohlheim 9 17 14 +3 17
8 Friedberg 9 17 17 0 15
9 Fernwald 9 16 14 +2 13
10 1960 Hanau 9 16 24 -8 6
11 Vfb Marburg 9 14 11 +3 17
12 FC Gießen 9 13 21 -8 6
13 Kassel 2 9 12 15 -3 8
14 Hummetroth 9 12 21 -9 5
15 Baunatal 9 11 17 -6 8
16 Kassel 9 11 21 -10 10
17 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 9 11 22 -11 7
18 Bayern Alzenau 9 8 16 -8 6
Oberliga - Hessen Germany. Oberliga - Hessen Predictions