Statistics / Football / France. Feminine Division 1 / Lyon W vs Toulouse W

Lyon W vs Toulouse W Statistics & Analysis

Lyon W Lyon W
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
5 1.03
0 0.72
xG Accuracy: 28%
⚽
Toulouse W
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lyon W Lyon W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11253618

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lyon W win · Lyon W 5–0 Toulouse W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Feminine Division 1
  • Fixture: Lyon W vs Toulouse W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 36.2% · Away 23.4%
  • xG (showing): Lyon W 1.03 — Toulouse W 0.72 (total xG ≈ 1.75)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Lyon W & Toulouse W!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Feminine Division 1 Feminine Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lyon W 4 4 0 0 12
2 Paris Saint Germain W 4 4 0 0 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 4
8 FC Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lyon W 4 27 3 +24 12
2 Paris FC W 4 9 8 +1 9
3 Paris Saint Germain W 4 8 1 +7 12
4 Montpellier W 4 6 3 +3 5
5 Marseille W 4 6 4 +2 8
6 Strasbourg W 4 6 9 -3 4
7 Le Havre W 4 5 10 -5 6
8 FC Fleury 91 W 4 5 11 -6 4
9 Lens W 4 4 10 -6 1
10 Toulouse W 4 4 14 -10 1
11 Saint-Malo W 4 3 7 -4 3
12 Nantes W 4 2 5 -3 2
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lyon W 4 1.4 0.3 +1.1 12
2 FC Fleury 91 W 4 0.3 1.4 -1.1 4
3 Paris Saint Germain W 4 — — — 12
4 Paris FC W 4 — — — 9
5 Marseille W 4 — — — 8
6 Le Havre W 4 — — — 6
7 Montpellier W 4 — — — 5
8 Strasbourg W 4 — — — 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 — — — 3
10 Nantes W 4 — — — 2
11 Lens W 4 — — — 1
12 Toulouse W 4 — — — 1