Statistics / Football / Belgium. First Amateur Division / Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Roeselare Daisel

Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Roeselare Daisel Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.22
3 1.38
xG Accuracy: 46%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Roeselare Daisel Roeselare Daisel ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11258258

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Roeselare Daisel win · Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0–3 Roeselare Daisel
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: First Amateur Division
  • Fixture: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Roeselare Daisel
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.22 — Roeselare Daisel 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.7% · Probability edge: +9.1 pts · Est. EV: +15.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
First Amateur Division First Amateur Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Meux 7 5 1 1 16
2 RWDM 7 5 1 1 16
3 Rochefort 7 4 2 1 14
4 Tubize 7 4 2 1 14
5 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 3 2 2 11
6 Albert Quévy-Mons 6 3 1 2 10
7 Sporting Charleroi II 7 2 3 2 9
8 Olympic Charleroi 7 2 2 3 8
9 Onhaye 7 2 0 5 6
10 Habay-la-Neuve 7 1 2 4 5
11 Standard Liège II 6 1 1 4 4
12 Flénu 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Meux 7 15 5 +10 16
2 Rochefort 7 14 7 +7 14
3 Albert Quévy-Mons 6 14 10 +4 10
4 RWDM 7 11 6 +5 16
5 Tubize 7 10 8 +2 14
6 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 10 8 +2 11
7 Olympic Charleroi 7 9 16 -7 8
8 Onhaye 7 9 16 -7 6
9 Sporting Charleroi II 7 8 7 +1 9
10 Flénu 7 8 21 -13 1
11 Standard Liège II 6 5 4 +1 4
12 Habay-la-Neuve 7 5 10 -5 5