Knokke vs Heist Statistics & Analysis

Knokke

Aug 30, 2026 - 13:00

3 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 47%

Heist

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Knokke Knokke ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5293239

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Knokke win · Knokke 3–0 Heist

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: First Amateur Division
Fixture: Knokke vs Heist
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Knokke 1.41 — Heist 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

First Amateur Division — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Meux	6	5	0	1	15
2	RWDM	5	5	0	0	15
3	Tubize	6	3	2	1	11
4	Rochefort	5	3	1	1	10
5	Union Saint-Gilloise II	6	2	2	2	8
6	Albert Quévy-Mons	5	2	1	2	7
7	Onhaye	6	2	0	4	6
8	Sporting Charleroi II	5	1	2	2	5
9	Standard Liège II	5	1	1	3	4
10	Habay-la-Neuve	5	1	1	3	4
11	Olympic Charleroi	5	1	1	3	4
12	Flénu	5	0	1	4	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Meux	6	14	4	+10	15
2	Rochefort	5	12	6	+6	10
3	Albert Quévy-Mons	5	10	10	0	7
4	Tubize	6	9	8	+1	11
5	RWDM	5	8	1	+7	15
6	Onhaye	6	7	12	-5	6
7	Union Saint-Gilloise II	6	6	6	0	8
8	Standard Liège II	5	5	3	+2	4
9	Habay-la-Neuve	5	5	9	-4	4
10	Flénu	5	5	13	-8	1
11	Sporting Charleroi II	5	4	5	-1	5
12	Olympic Charleroi	5	4	12	-8	4