Statistics / Football / Belgium. First Amateur Division / Habay-la-Neuve vs Albert Quévy-Mons

Habay-la-Neuve vs Albert Quévy-Mons Statistics & Analysis

Habay-la-Neuve Habay-la-Neuve
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.24
2 1.36
xG Accuracy: 68%
Albert Quévy-Mons Albert Quévy-Mons
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Albert Quévy-Mons Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13206645

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Habay-la-Neuve 2–2 Albert Quévy-Mons
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: First Amateur Division
  • Fixture: Habay-la-Neuve vs Albert Quévy-Mons
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Habay-la-Neuve 1.24 — Albert Quévy-Mons 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
First Amateur Division First Amateur Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 RWDM 8 6 1 1 19
2 Rochefort 8 5 2 1 17
3 Meux 8 5 1 2 16
4 Tubize 8 4 2 2 14
5 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 3 2 2 11
6 Albert Quévy-Mons 7 3 1 3 10
7 Sporting Charleroi II 8 2 4 2 10
8 Olympic Charleroi 8 2 3 3 9
9 Standard Liège II 7 2 1 4 7
10 Onhaye 7 2 0 5 6
11 Habay-la-Neuve 7 1 2 4 5
12 Flénu 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rochefort 8 17 7 +10 17
2 Albert Quévy-Mons 7 16 13 +3 10
3 Meux 8 15 8 +7 16
4 RWDM 8 13 7 +6 19
5 Tubize 8 11 10 +1 14
6 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 10 8 +2 11
7 Olympic Charleroi 8 10 17 -7 9
8 Sporting Charleroi II 8 9 8 +1 10
9 Onhaye 7 9 16 -7 6
10 Standard Liège II 7 8 6 +2 7
11 Flénu 7 8 21 -13 1
12 Habay-la-Neuve 7 5 10 -5 5