Albert Quévy-Mons vs Flénu Statistics & Analysis

Albert Quévy-Mons

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00

4 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 35%

Flénu

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Albert Quévy-Mons Albert Quévy-Mons ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11258084

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Albert Quévy-Mons win · Albert Quévy-Mons 4–0 Flénu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: First Amateur Division
Fixture: Albert Quévy-Mons vs Flénu
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Albert Quévy-Mons 1.41 — Flénu 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

First Amateur Division — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Meux	7	5	1	1	16
2	RWDM	7	5	1	1	16
3	Rochefort	7	4	2	1	14
4	Tubize	7	4	2	1	14
5	Union Saint-Gilloise II	7	3	2	2	11
6	Albert Quévy-Mons	6	3	1	2	10
7	Sporting Charleroi II	7	2	3	2	9
8	Olympic Charleroi	7	2	2	3	8
9	Onhaye	7	2	0	5	6
10	Habay-la-Neuve	7	1	2	4	5
11	Standard Liège II	6	1	1	4	4
12	Flénu	7	0	1	6	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Meux	7	15	5	+10	16
2	Rochefort	7	14	7	+7	14
3	Albert Quévy-Mons	6	14	10	+4	10
4	RWDM	7	11	6	+5	16
5	Tubize	7	10	8	+2	14
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	7	10	8	+2	11
7	Olympic Charleroi	7	9	16	-7	8
8	Onhaye	7	9	16	-7	6
9	Sporting Charleroi II	7	8	7	+1	9
10	Flénu	7	8	21	-13	1
11	Standard Liège II	6	5	4	+1	4
12	Habay-la-Neuve	7	5	10	-5	5