Statistics / Football / England. FA Trophy / Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets

Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets Statistics & Analysis

Stocksbridge Park Steels Stocksbridge Park Steels
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 76%
Runcorn Linnets Runcorn Linnets
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Runcorn Linnets Runcorn Linnets ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5142014

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Runcorn Linnets win · Stocksbridge Park Steels 1–2 Runcorn Linnets
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: FA Trophy
  • Fixture: Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Stocksbridge Park Steels 1.29 — Runcorn Linnets 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.0% · Probability edge: +8.9 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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