Nový Jičín vs Kravare Statistics & Analysis

Nový Jičín

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:30

0 1.27

4 1.33

xG Accuracy: 34%

Kravare

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Kravare Kravare ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13204426

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kravare win · Nový Jičín 0–4 Kravare

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie F
Fixture: Nový Jičín vs Kravare
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Nový Jičín 1.27 — Kravare 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie F — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kravare	10	8	1	1	25
2	Bospor Bohumín	9	8	0	1	24
3	Vratimov	9	7	0	2	21
4	Hlučín	10	6	1	3	19
5	Stonava	10	5	2	3	17
6	Opava II	10	5	1	4	16
7	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	4	2	4	14
8	Nový Jičín	10	4	2	4	14
9	Valašské Meziříčí	9	3	3	3	12
10	Zabreh	9	3	2	4	11
11	Pustá Polom	9	3	1	5	10
12	Břidličná	10	3	1	6	10
13	Frydek-Mistek B	9	3	0	6	9
14	Šumperk	9	2	2	5	8
15	Bílovec	9	1	2	6	5
16	Frýdlant	10	1	0	9	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	9	33	11	+22	24
2	Kravare	10	27	12	+15	25
3	Jiskra Rýmařov	10	22	18	+4	14
4	Opava II	10	22	19	+3	16
5	Stonava	10	21	16	+5	17
6	Valašské Meziříčí	9	21	17	+4	12
7	Hlučín	10	20	15	+5	19
8	Vratimov	9	19	12	+7	21
9	Nový Jičín	10	18	21	-3	14
10	Frydek-Mistek B	9	16	21	-5	9
11	Břidličná	10	14	22	-8	10
12	Pustá Polom	9	13	18	-5	10
13	Šumperk	9	12	15	-3	8
14	Zabreh	9	11	12	-1	11
15	Frýdlant	10	11	38	-27	3
16	Bílovec	9	5	18	-13	5