Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F / Valašské Meziříčí vs Opava II

Valašské Meziříčí vs Opava II Statistics & Analysis

Valašské Meziříčí Valašské Meziříčí
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 43%
Opava II Opava II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Opava II Valašské Meziříčí ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11232748

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Valašské Meziříčí win · Valašské Meziříčí 3–0 Opava II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F
  • Fixture: Valašské Meziříčí vs Opava II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Valašské Meziříčí 1.25 — Opava II 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie F 4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 9 8 0 1 24
2 Kravare 9 7 1 1 22
3 Vratimov 9 7 0 2 21
4 Hlučín 9 6 1 2 19
5 Stonava 9 5 2 2 17
6 Jiskra Rýmařov 9 4 2 3 14
7 Nový Jičín 9 4 2 3 14
8 Opava II 9 4 1 4 13
9 Valašské Meziříčí 9 3 3 3 12
10 Zabreh 9 3 2 4 11
11 Pustá Polom 9 3 1 5 10
12 Frydek-Mistek B 9 3 0 6 9
13 Šumperk 9 2 2 5 8
14 Břidličná 9 2 1 6 7
15 Bílovec 9 1 2 6 5
16 Frýdlant 9 0 0 9 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 9 33 11 +22 24
2 Kravare 9 23 12 +11 22
3 Jiskra Rýmařov 9 21 16 +5 14
4 Valašské Meziříčí 9 21 17 +4 12
5 Hlučín 9 20 12 +8 19
6 Stonava 9 20 12 +8 17
7 Vratimov 9 19 12 +7 21
8 Nový Jičín 9 18 17 +1 14
9 Opava II 9 18 18 0 13
10 Frydek-Mistek B 9 16 21 -5 9
11 Pustá Polom 9 13 18 -5 10
12 Šumperk 9 12 15 -3 8
13 Břidličná 9 12 21 -9 7
14 Zabreh 9 11 12 -1 11
15 Frýdlant 9 8 38 -30 0
16 Bílovec 9 5 18 -13 5
4. liga - Divizie F Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions