Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F / Kravare vs Pustá Polom

Kravare vs Pustá Polom Statistics & Analysis

Kravare Kravare
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 79%
Pustá Polom Pustá Polom
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kravare Kravare ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11667030

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kravare win · Kravare 2–1 Pustá Polom
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F
  • Fixture: Kravare vs Pustá Polom
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Kravare 1.38 — Pustá Polom 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie F 4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 9 8 0 1 24
2 Vratimov 9 7 0 2 21
3 Kravare 8 6 1 1 19
4 Hlučín 9 6 1 2 19
5 Stonava 9 5 2 2 17
6 Jiskra Rýmařov 9 4 2 3 14
7 Nový Jičín 9 4 2 3 14
8 Opava II 9 4 1 4 13
9 Valašské Meziříčí 9 3 3 3 12
10 Zabreh 8 3 2 3 11
11 Pustá Polom 8 3 1 4 10
12 Šumperk 8 2 1 5 7
13 Břidličná 9 2 1 6 7
14 Frydek-Mistek B 8 2 0 6 6
15 Bílovec 8 1 1 6 4
16 Frýdlant 9 0 0 9 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 9 33 11 +22 24
2 Kravare 8 21 11 +10 19
3 Jiskra Rýmařov 9 21 16 +5 14
4 Valašské Meziříčí 9 21 17 +4 12
5 Hlučín 9 20 12 +8 19
6 Stonava 9 20 12 +8 17
7 Vratimov 9 19 12 +7 21
8 Nový Jičín 9 18 17 +1 14
9 Opava II 9 18 18 0 13
10 Frydek-Mistek B 8 14 20 -6 6
11 Pustá Polom 8 12 16 -4 10
12 Břidličná 9 12 21 -9 7
13 Šumperk 8 11 14 -3 7
14 Zabreh 8 10 10 0 11
15 Frýdlant 9 8 38 -30 0
16 Bílovec 8 4 17 -13 4
4. liga - Divizie F Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions