Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F / Hlučín vs Nový Jičín

Hlučín vs Nový Jičín Statistics & Analysis

Hlučín Hlučín
Oct 02, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 85%
Nový Jičín Nový Jičín
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hlučín Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10972793

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Hlučín 1–1 Nový Jičín
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F
  • Fixture: Hlučín vs Nový Jičín
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Hlučín 1.37 — Nový Jičín 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie F 4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 8 7 0 1 21
2 Kravare 8 6 1 1 19
3 Hlučín 9 6 1 2 19
4 Vratimov 8 6 0 2 18
5 Jiskra Rýmařov 8 4 2 2 14
6 Stonava 8 4 2 2 14
7 Nový Jičín 9 4 2 3 14
8 Opava II 8 4 1 3 13
9 Zabreh 8 3 2 3 11
10 Pustá Polom 8 3 1 4 10
11 Valašské Meziříčí 8 2 3 3 9
12 Šumperk 8 2 1 5 7
13 Břidličná 8 2 1 5 7
14 Frydek-Mistek B 8 2 0 6 6
15 Bílovec 8 1 1 6 4
16 Frýdlant 8 0 0 8 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 8 29 10 +19 21
2 Kravare 8 21 11 +10 19
3 Hlučín 9 20 12 +8 19
4 Jiskra Rýmařov 8 20 12 +8 14
5 Opava II 8 18 15 +3 13
6 Nový Jičín 9 18 17 +1 14
7 Valašské Meziříčí 8 18 17 +1 9
8 Vratimov 8 17 11 +6 18
9 Stonava 8 16 11 +5 14
10 Frydek-Mistek B 8 14 20 -6 6
11 Pustá Polom 8 12 16 -4 10
12 Šumperk 8 11 14 -3 7
13 Břidličná 8 11 19 -8 7
14 Zabreh 8 10 10 0 11
15 Frýdlant 8 7 34 -27 0
16 Bílovec 8 4 17 -13 4
4. liga - Divizie F Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions