Zabreh vs Šumperk Statistics & Analysis

Zabreh

Sep 13, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.43

0 1.17

xG Accuracy: 64%

Šumperk

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Zabreh Zabreh ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7442736

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Zabreh win · Zabreh 1–0 Šumperk

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie F
Fixture: Zabreh vs Šumperk
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Zabreh 1.43 — Šumperk 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie F — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	7	7	0	0	21
2	Hlučín	8	6	0	2	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	16
4	Vratimov	7	5	0	2	15
5	Stonava	8	4	2	2	14
6	Jiskra Rýmařov	7	4	1	2	13
7	Opava II	8	4	1	3	13
8	Nový Jičín	7	4	1	2	13
9	Zabreh	7	3	1	3	10
10	Valašské Meziříčí	8	2	3	3	9
11	Šumperk	7	2	1	4	7
12	Pustá Polom	7	2	1	4	7
13	Frydek-Mistek B	8	2	0	6	6
14	Břidličná	7	1	1	5	4
15	Bílovec	7	1	1	5	4
16	Frýdlant	8	0	0	8	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Bospor Bohumín	7	27	7	+20	21
2	Hlučín	8	19	11	+8	18
3	Kravare	7	19	11	+8	16
4	Jiskra Rýmařov	7	18	10	+8	13
5	Opava II	8	18	15	+3	13
6	Valašské Meziříčí	8	18	17	+1	9
7	Stonava	8	16	11	+5	14
8	Nový Jičín	7	15	13	+2	13
9	Vratimov	7	14	9	+5	15
10	Frydek-Mistek B	8	14	20	-6	6
11	Šumperk	7	10	12	-2	7
12	Pustá Polom	7	9	14	-5	7
13	Břidličná	7	9	18	-9	4
14	Zabreh	7	8	8	0	10
15	Frýdlant	8	7	34	-27	0
16	Bílovec	7	4	15	-11	4