Břeclav vs Sokol Lanžhot Statistics & Analysis

Břeclav

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:30

3 1.20

4 1.40

xG Accuracy: 30%

Sokol Lanžhot

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Sokol Lanžhot Sokol Lanžhot ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13204279

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sokol Lanžhot win · Břeclav 3–4 Sokol Lanžhot

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Břeclav vs Sokol Lanžhot
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Břeclav 1.2 — Sokol Lanžhot 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	9	0	1	27
2	Kozlovice	10	7	3	0	24
3	Strání	9	7	1	1	22
4	Sokol Lanžhot	10	7	0	3	21
5	SK Krumvir	10	6	1	3	19
6	Šternberk	10	5	1	4	16
7	Břeclav	10	4	3	3	15
8	Prostejov B	10	4	3	3	15
9	Hluk	10	3	5	2	14
10	Holešov	10	3	4	3	13
11	Slavičín	9	4	1	4	13
12	Brumov	9	2	1	6	7
13	Bzenec	10	2	0	8	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	1	2	6	5
15	Nové Sady	10	1	1	8	4
16	Baťov	10	0	0	10	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tatran Všechovice	10	38	9	+29	27
2	Strání	9	35	14	+21	22
3	Kozlovice	10	27	9	+18	24
4	Šternberk	10	22	19	+3	16
5	Hluk	10	21	15	+6	14
6	Prostejov B	10	21	20	+1	15
7	Sokol Lanžhot	10	19	14	+5	21
8	Holešov	10	19	17	+2	13
9	SK Krumvir	10	18	16	+2	19
10	Slavičín	9	18	17	+1	13
11	Břeclav	10	17	13	+4	15
12	Bzenec	10	15	32	-17	6
13	Nové Sady	10	15	40	-25	4
14	Brumov	9	14	28	-14	7
15	Baťov	10	9	35	-26	0
16	Kroměříž II	9	7	17	-10	5