Strání vs Šternberk Statistics & Analysis

Strání

Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.48

3 1.12

xG Accuracy: 52%

Šternberk

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Strání Šternberk ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11666940

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Šternberk win · Strání 1–3 Šternberk

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Strání vs Šternberk
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
xG (showing): Strání 1.48 — Šternberk 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Strání	8	7	1	0	22
2	Tatran Všechovice	8	7	0	1	21
3	Kozlovice	8	6	2	0	20
4	SK Krumvir	9	6	1	2	19
5	Sokol Lanžhot	8	5	0	3	15
6	Hluk	9	3	5	1	14
7	Břeclav	8	4	2	2	14
8	Slavičín	9	4	1	4	13
9	Prostejov B	8	3	3	2	12
10	Holešov	8	2	4	2	10
11	Šternberk	8	3	1	4	10
12	Brumov	9	2	1	6	7
13	Bzenec	9	2	0	7	6
14	Kroměříž II	9	1	2	6	5
15	Nové Sady	9	1	1	7	4
16	Baťov	9	0	0	9	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Strání	8	34	11	+23	22
2	Tatran Všechovice	8	29	8	+21	21
3	Kozlovice	8	22	7	+15	20
4	Hluk	9	20	11	+9	14
5	Slavičín	9	18	17	+1	13
6	Prostejov B	8	16	16	0	12
7	SK Krumvir	9	15	12	+3	19
8	Holešov	8	15	12	+3	10
9	Šternberk	8	15	15	0	10
10	Brumov	9	14	28	-14	7
11	Břeclav	8	13	8	+5	14
12	Sokol Lanžhot	8	13	11	+2	15
13	Bzenec	9	13	28	-15	6
14	Nové Sady	9	12	36	-24	4
15	Baťov	9	9	28	-19	0
16	Kroměříž II	9	7	17	-10	5