Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie E / Slavičín vs Baťov

Slavičín vs Baťov Statistics & Analysis

Slavičín Slavičín
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
4 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 39%
Baťov Baťov
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Baťov Slavičín ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11232530

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Slavičín win · Slavičín 4–2 Baťov
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie E
  • Fixture: Slavičín vs Baťov
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Slavičín 1.28 — Baťov 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie E 4. liga - Divizie E — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Strání 8 7 1 0 22
2 Tatran Všechovice 8 7 0 1 21
3 Kozlovice 8 6 2 0 20
4 SK Krumvir 9 6 1 2 19
5 Sokol Lanžhot 8 5 0 3 15
6 Hluk 9 3 5 1 14
7 Břeclav 8 4 2 2 14
8 Slavičín 9 4 1 4 13
9 Prostejov B 8 3 3 2 12
10 Holešov 8 2 4 2 10
11 Šternberk 8 3 1 4 10
12 Brumov 9 2 1 6 7
13 Bzenec 9 2 0 7 6
14 Kroměříž II 9 1 2 6 5
15 Nové Sady 9 1 1 7 4
16 Baťov 9 0 0 9 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Strání 8 34 11 +23 22
2 Tatran Všechovice 8 29 8 +21 21
3 Kozlovice 8 22 7 +15 20
4 Hluk 9 20 11 +9 14
5 Slavičín 9 18 17 +1 13
6 Prostejov B 8 16 16 0 12
7 SK Krumvir 9 15 12 +3 19
8 Holešov 8 15 12 +3 10
9 Šternberk 8 15 15 0 10
10 Brumov 9 14 28 -14 7
11 Břeclav 8 13 8 +5 14
12 Sokol Lanžhot 8 13 11 +2 15
13 Bzenec 9 13 28 -15 6
14 Nové Sady 9 12 36 -24 4
15 Baťov 9 9 28 -19 0
16 Kroměříž II 9 7 17 -10 5