Šternberk vs Hluk Statistics & Analysis

Šternberk

Aug 15, 2026 - 14:30

1 1.20

1 1.40

xG Accuracy: 85%

Hluk

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hluk Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3356713

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Šternberk 1–1 Hluk

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 4. liga - Divizie E
Fixture: Šternberk vs Hluk
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Šternberk 1.2 — Hluk 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie E — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kozlovice	8	6	2	0	20
2	Strání	7	6	1	0	19
3	Tatran Všechovice	7	6	0	1	18
4	SK Krumvir	7	6	0	1	18
5	Břeclav	8	4	2	2	14
6	Hluk	8	3	4	1	13
7	Sokol Lanžhot	7	4	0	3	12
8	Prostejov B	8	3	3	2	12
9	Holešov	8	2	4	2	10
10	Šternberk	8	3	1	4	10
11	Slavičín	8	3	1	4	10
12	Kroměříž II	7	1	2	4	5
13	Brumov	7	1	1	5	4
14	Nové Sady	8	1	1	6	4
15	Bzenec	8	1	0	7	3
16	Baťov	8	0	0	8	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Strání	7	29	11	+18	19
2	Tatran Všechovice	7	26	8	+18	18
3	Kozlovice	8	22	7	+15	20
4	Hluk	8	20	11	+9	13
5	Prostejov B	8	16	16	0	12
6	SK Krumvir	7	15	7	+8	18
7	Holešov	8	15	12	+3	10
8	Šternberk	8	15	15	0	10
9	Slavičín	8	14	15	-1	10
10	Břeclav	8	13	8	+5	14
11	Sokol Lanžhot	7	12	11	+1	12
12	Bzenec	8	12	28	-16	3
13	Brumov	7	11	25	-14	4
14	Nové Sady	8	10	33	-23	4
15	Kroměříž II	7	7	13	-6	5
16	Baťov	8	7	24	-17	0