Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / Velké Meziříčí vs Bystrc Kníničky

Velké Meziříčí vs Bystrc Kníničky Statistics & Analysis

Velké Meziříčí Velké Meziříčí
Oct 11, 2026 - 08:15
4 1.33
4 1.27
xG Accuracy: 23%
Bystrc Kníničky Bystrc Kníničky
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Velké Meziříčí Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13187511

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Velké Meziříčí 4–4 Bystrc Kníničky
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: Velké Meziříčí vs Bystrc Kníničky
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Velké Meziříčí 1.33 — Bystrc Kníničky 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tatran Bohunice 10 6 2 2 20
2 Kuřim 10 6 1 3 19
3 Havlíčkův Brod 10 6 1 3 19
4 Velká Bíteš 9 5 3 1 18
5 FS Třebíč 10 5 2 3 17
6 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 16
7 Znojmo 10 4 3 3 15
8 Pelhřimov 9 4 2 3 14
9 Sokol Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 2 4 3 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 9
12 Ždírec nad Doubravou 10 2 3 5 9
13 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9
14 Velké Meziříčí 9 2 3 4 9
15 Žďár nad Sázavou 10 2 2 6 8
16 Bedrichov 10 0 2 8 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kuřim 10 38 13 +25 19
2 Tatran Bohunice 10 22 9 +13 20
3 Pelhřimov 9 21 13 +8 14
4 Havlíčkův Brod 10 20 13 +7 19
5 Znojmo 10 19 14 +5 15
6 Ždírec nad Doubravou 10 16 23 -7 9
7 Velká Bíteš 9 15 10 +5 18
8 Sokol Tasovice 9 14 9 +5 14
9 Sparta Brno 9 14 13 +1 16
10 Žďár nad Sázavou 10 14 17 -3 8
11 FS Třebíč 10 13 17 -4 17
12 Bystrc Kníničky 9 12 13 -1 10
13 Velké Meziříčí 9 10 20 -10 9
14 Chotebor 9 9 17 -8 9
15 Bedrichov 10 9 43 -34 2
16 Humpolec 9 8 10 -2 9
4. liga - Divizie D Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D Predictions