Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / Žďár nad Sázavou vs Sokol Tasovice

Žďár nad Sázavou vs Sokol Tasovice Statistics & Analysis

Žďár nad Sázavou Žďár nad Sázavou
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.24
1 1.36
xG Accuracy: 64%
Sokol Tasovice Sokol Tasovice
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sokol Tasovice Sokol Tasovice ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11666708

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sokol Tasovice win · Žďár nad Sázavou 0–1 Sokol Tasovice
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: Žďár nad Sázavou vs Sokol Tasovice
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Žďár nad Sázavou 1.24 — Sokol Tasovice 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.6% · Probability edge: +11.2 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Velká Bíteš 9 5 3 1 18
2 Tatran Bohunice 9 5 2 2 17
3 Kuřim 9 5 1 3 16
4 Havlíčkův Brod 9 5 1 3 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 16
6 FS Třebíč 9 5 1 3 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 15
8 Pelhřimov 9 4 2 3 14
9 Sokol Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 2 4 3 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9
13 Velké Meziříčí 9 2 3 4 9
14 Žďár nad Sázavou 9 2 2 5 8
15 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kuřim 9 25 13 +12 16
2 Tatran Bohunice 9 21 9 +12 17
3 Pelhřimov 9 21 13 +8 14
4 Znojmo 9 17 10 +7 15
5 Havlíčkův Brod 9 16 11 +5 16
6 Velká Bíteš 9 15 10 +5 18
7 Sokol Tasovice 9 14 9 +5 14
8 Sparta Brno 9 14 13 +1 16
9 Žďár nad Sázavou 9 14 16 -2 8
10 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 14 21 -7 8
11 Bystrc Kníničky 9 12 13 -1 10
12 FS Třebíč 9 11 15 -4 16
13 Velké Meziříčí 9 10 20 -10 9
14 Chotebor 9 9 17 -8 9
15 Bedrichov 9 9 30 -21 2
16 Humpolec 9 8 10 -2 9
4. liga - Divizie D Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D Predictions