Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / Bystrc Kníničky vs Pelhřimov

Bystrc Kníničky vs Pelhřimov Statistics & Analysis

Bystrc Kníničky Bystrc Kníničky
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 80%
Pelhřimov Pelhřimov
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bystrc Kníničky Bystrc Kníničky ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11237157

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bystrc Kníničky win · Bystrc Kníničky 2–1 Pelhřimov
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: Bystrc Kníničky vs Pelhřimov
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Bystrc Kníničky 1.39 — Pelhřimov 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tatran Bohunice 9 5 2 2 17
2 Kuřim 9 5 1 3 16
3 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 16
4 FS Třebíč 9 5 1 3 16
5 Znojmo 8 4 3 1 15
6 Velká Bíteš 8 4 3 1 15
7 Pelhřimov 9 4 2 3 14
8 Havlíčkův Brod 8 4 1 3 13
9 Sokol Tasovice 8 2 5 1 11
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 2 4 3 10
11 Chotebor 8 2 3 3 9
12 Velké Meziříčí 9 2 3 4 9
13 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 2 2 4 8
14 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 8
15 Humpolec 8 1 3 4 6
16 Bedrichov 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kuřim 9 25 13 +12 16
2 Tatran Bohunice 9 21 9 +12 17
3 Pelhřimov 9 21 13 +8 14
4 Znojmo 8 17 8 +9 15
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 15 11 +4 13
6 Sparta Brno 9 14 13 +1 16
7 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 14 15 -1 8
8 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 14 21 -7 8
9 Sokol Tasovice 8 13 9 +4 11
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 12 13 -1 10
11 FS Třebíč 9 11 15 -4 16
12 Velké Meziříčí 9 10 20 -10 9
13 Velká Bíteš 8 9 7 +2 15
14 Chotebor 8 9 16 -7 9
15 Humpolec 8 6 10 -4 6
16 Bedrichov 8 6 24 -18 2