Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D / FS Třebíč vs Znojmo

FS Třebíč vs Znojmo Statistics & Analysis

FS Třebíč FS Třebíč
Sep 05, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.20
6 1.40
xG Accuracy: 27%
Znojmo Znojmo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Znojmo Znojmo ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-6 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6147713

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Znojmo win · FS Třebíč 1–6 Znojmo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D
  • Fixture: FS Třebíč vs Znojmo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): FS Třebíč 1.2 — Znojmo 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie D 4. liga - Divizie D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tatran Bohunice 8 5 2 1 17
2 Znojmo 7 4 2 1 14
3 Velká Bíteš 7 4 2 1 14
4 Kuřim 7 4 1 2 13
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 4 1 3 13
6 Sparta Brno 8 4 1 3 13
7 FS Třebíč 7 4 0 3 12
8 Pelhřimov 7 3 2 2 11
9 Sokol Tasovice 7 2 4 1 10
10 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 2 2 4 8
11 Chotebor 7 2 2 3 8
12 Bystrc Kníničky 7 1 4 2 7
13 Velké Meziříčí 7 1 3 3 6
14 Humpolec 7 1 2 4 5
15 Ždírec nad Doubravou 7 1 2 4 5
16 Bedrichov 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tatran Bohunice 8 21 8 +13 17
2 Kuřim 7 20 9 +11 13
3 Znojmo 7 16 7 +9 14
4 Pelhřimov 7 16 9 +7 11
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 15 11 +4 13
6 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 14 15 -1 8
7 Sokol Tasovice 7 12 8 +4 10
8 Sparta Brno 8 11 12 -1 13
9 Ždírec nad Doubravou 7 10 16 -6 5
10 FS Třebíč 7 9 14 -5 12
11 Chotebor 7 9 16 -7 8
12 Velká Bíteš 7 8 6 +2 14
13 Bystrc Kníničky 7 8 9 -1 7
14 Velké Meziříčí 7 8 16 -8 6
15 Humpolec 7 6 10 -4 5
16 Bedrichov 7 5 22 -17 2
4. liga - Divizie D Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie D Predictions