Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 3. liga - MSFL / Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II

Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II Statistics & Analysis

Havířov Havířov
Oct 11, 2026 - 08:15
3 1.17
0 1.43
xG Accuracy: 41%
Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sigma Olomouc II Havířov ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13187363

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Havířov win · Havířov 3–0 Sigma Olomouc II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. liga - MSFL
  • Fixture: Havířov vs Sigma Olomouc II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Havířov 1.17 — Sigma Olomouc II 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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3. liga - MSFL 3. liga - MSFL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Uničov 12 8 2 2 26
2 Líšeň II 11 7 4 0 25
3 Zbrojovka Brno II 11 7 2 2 23
4 Frýdek-Místek 12 6 3 3 21
5 Sigma Olomouc II 11 6 1 4 19
6 Hranice 11 5 2 4 17
7 Hodonín 12 5 2 5 17
8 Vítkovice 12 4 4 4 16
9 Unie Hlubina 11 4 3 4 15
10 Slovácko II 11 4 3 4 15
11 Uherský Brod 11 4 3 4 15
12 Zlín II 11 4 3 4 15
13 Karviná II 12 4 2 6 14
14 Vrchovina 12 4 2 6 14
15 Blansko 12 2 5 5 11
16 Vsetín 12 3 1 8 10
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 6
18 Havířov 11 0 5 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Uničov 12 26 14 +12 26
2 Unie Hlubina 11 26 22 +4 15
3 Zbrojovka Brno II 11 24 16 +8 23
4 Líšeň II 11 20 4 +16 25
5 Sigma Olomouc II 11 20 13 +7 19
6 Frýdek-Místek 12 19 13 +6 21
7 Karviná II 12 19 21 -2 14
8 Uherský Brod 11 18 18 0 15
9 Blansko 12 18 28 -10 11
10 Hodonín 12 17 13 +4 17
11 Slovácko II 11 16 12 +4 15
12 Hranice 11 15 10 +5 17
13 Zlín II 11 13 16 -3 15
14 Vrchovina 12 13 24 -11 14
15 Vítkovice 12 12 13 -1 16
16 Vsetín 12 11 26 -15 10
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 7 17 -10 6
18 Havířov 11 6 20 -14 5
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