Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 3. liga - MSFL / Sigma Olomouc II vs Vítkovice

Sigma Olomouc II vs Vítkovice Statistics & Analysis

Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II
Oct 03, 2026 - 08:15
2 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 79%
Vítkovice Vítkovice
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11218091

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sigma Olomouc II win · Sigma Olomouc II 2–1 Vítkovice
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. liga - MSFL
  • Fixture: Sigma Olomouc II vs Vítkovice
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Sigma Olomouc II 1.38 — Vítkovice 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.2% · Probability edge: +8.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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3. liga - MSFL 3. liga - MSFL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Uničov 12 8 2 2 26
2 Líšeň II 11 7 4 0 25
3 Zbrojovka Brno II 11 7 2 2 23
4 Frýdek-Místek 12 6 3 3 21
5 Sigma Olomouc II 11 6 1 4 19
6 Hranice 11 5 2 4 17
7 Hodonín 12 5 2 5 17
8 Vítkovice 12 4 4 4 16
9 Unie Hlubina 11 4 3 4 15
10 Slovácko II 11 4 3 4 15
11 Uherský Brod 11 4 3 4 15
12 Zlín II 11 4 3 4 15
13 Karviná II 12 4 2 6 14
14 Vrchovina 12 4 2 6 14
15 Blansko 12 2 5 5 11
16 Vsetín 12 3 1 8 10
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 6
18 Havířov 11 0 5 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Uničov 12 26 14 +12 26
2 Unie Hlubina 11 26 22 +4 15
3 Zbrojovka Brno II 11 24 16 +8 23
4 Líšeň II 11 20 4 +16 25
5 Sigma Olomouc II 11 20 13 +7 19
6 Frýdek-Místek 12 19 13 +6 21
7 Karviná II 12 19 21 -2 14
8 Uherský Brod 11 18 18 0 15
9 Blansko 12 18 28 -10 11
10 Hodonín 12 17 13 +4 17
11 Slovácko II 11 16 12 +4 15
12 Hranice 11 15 10 +5 17
13 Zlín II 11 13 16 -3 15
14 Vrchovina 12 13 24 -11 14
15 Vítkovice 12 12 13 -1 16
16 Vsetín 12 11 26 -15 10
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 7 17 -10 6
18 Havířov 11 6 20 -14 5
3. liga - MSFL Czech-Republic. 3. liga - MSFL Predictions