Uherský Brod vs Vsetín Statistics & Analysis

Uherský Brod

Aug 29, 2026 - 14:30

2 1.31

1 1.29

xG Accuracy: 76%

Vsetín

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Uherský Brod Uherský Brod ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5146594

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Uherský Brod win · Uherský Brod 2–1 Vsetín

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 3. liga - MSFL
Fixture: Uherský Brod vs Vsetín
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Uherský Brod 1.31 — Vsetín 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. liga - MSFL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Líšeň II	10	7	3	0	24
2	Zbrojovka Brno II	10	7	1	2	22
3	Frýdek-Místek	9	5	3	1	18
4	Uničov	9	5	2	2	17
5	Sigma Olomouc II	9	5	1	3	16
6	Vítkovice	10	4	4	2	16
7	Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	15
8	Slovácko II	10	4	3	3	15
9	Hranice	9	4	1	4	13
10	Zlín II	10	3	3	4	12
11	Uherský Brod	9	3	2	4	11
12	Karviná II	10	3	2	5	11
13	Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	11
14	Hodonín	9	2	2	5	8
15	Blansko	9	1	4	4	7
16	Vsetín	9	2	1	6	7
17	Havířov	9	0	4	5	4
18	Polanka nad Odrou	9	0	3	6	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Zbrojovka Brno II	10	23	15	+8	22
2	Unie Hlubina	9	23	15	+8	15
3	Líšeň II	10	19	3	+16	24
4	Sigma Olomouc II	9	17	10	+7	16
5	Uničov	9	17	13	+4	17
6	Slovácko II	10	16	11	+5	15
7	Frýdek-Místek	9	15	7	+8	18
8	Karviná II	10	15	20	-5	11
9	Uherský Brod	9	14	15	-1	11
10	Blansko	9	14	24	-10	7
11	Zlín II	10	12	16	-4	12
12	Vítkovice	10	11	7	+4	16
13	Hranice	9	11	8	+3	13
14	Vsetín	9	10	22	-12	7
15	Hodonín	9	8	12	-4	8
16	Vrchovina	9	8	14	-6	11
17	Polanka nad Odrou	9	5	14	-9	3
18	Havířov	9	4	16	-12	4