Statistics / Football / Denmark. 3. Division / FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus

FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus Statistics & Analysis

FC Helsingor FC Helsingor
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
ASA Aarhus ASA Aarhus
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13189403

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FC Helsingor win · FC Helsingor 2–1 ASA Aarhus
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Division
  • Fixture: FC Helsingor vs ASA Aarhus
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): FC Helsingor 1.32 — ASA Aarhus 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
3. Division 3. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Holbæk B&I 11 7 2 2 23
2 Brønshøj 11 6 4 1 22
3 Vanløse 11 5 5 1 20
4 FC Helsingor 11 6 2 3 20
5 Næsby 11 5 2 4 17
6 ASA Aarhus 11 5 1 5 16
7 Hørsholm-Usserød 11 4 3 4 15
8 Holstebro 11 4 1 6 13
9 Frem 11 3 3 5 12
10 Ishøj 11 3 2 6 11
11 Sundby 11 3 1 7 10
12 Ringsted 11 1 2 8 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Holbæk B&I 11 26 18 +8 23
2 Hørsholm-Usserød 11 24 21 +3 15
3 Brønshøj 11 22 12 +10 22
4 FC Helsingor 11 20 15 +5 20
5 Næsby 11 20 16 +4 17
6 Frem 11 19 19 0 12
7 Holstebro 11 18 26 -8 13
8 Vanløse 11 16 9 +7 20
9 Sundby 11 16 19 -3 10
10 ASA Aarhus 11 15 16 -1 16
11 Ringsted 11 15 31 -16 5
12 Ishøj 11 12 21 -9 11
3. Division Denmark. 3. Division Predictions