Statistics / Football / Denmark. 3. Division / Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus

Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus Statistics & Analysis

Holbæk B&I Holbæk B&I
Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 78%
ASA Aarhus ASA Aarhus
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Holbæk B&I Holbæk B&I ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11221604

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Holbæk B&I win · Holbæk B&I 2–1 ASA Aarhus
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Division
  • Fixture: Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Holbæk B&I 1.36 — ASA Aarhus 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Holbæk B&I & ASA Aarhus!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
3. Division 3. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Holbæk B&I 9 6 1 2 19
2 Brønshøj 9 5 3 1 18
3 FC Helsingor 9 5 2 2 17
4 Vanløse 9 4 4 1 16
5 ASA Aarhus 9 5 1 3 16
6 Næsby 9 4 2 3 14
7 Holstebro 9 4 1 4 13
8 Sundby 9 3 1 5 10
9 Hørsholm-Usserød 9 2 3 4 9
10 Frem 9 2 2 5 8
11 Ishøj 9 2 1 6 7
12 Ringsted 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Holbæk B&I 9 24 17 +7 19
2 Brønshøj 9 17 9 +8 18
3 FC Helsingor 9 17 11 +6 17
4 Hørsholm-Usserød 9 17 18 -1 9
5 Næsby 9 16 14 +2 14
6 Holstebro 9 16 18 -2 13
7 Frem 9 16 18 -2 8
8 Vanløse 9 15 9 +6 16
9 Sundby 9 14 15 -1 10
10 ASA Aarhus 9 13 12 +1 16
11 Ringsted 9 11 25 -14 4
12 Ishøj 9 7 17 -10 7
3. Division Denmark. 3. Division Predictions