Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Süd / Auerbach vs Eilenburg

Auerbach vs Eilenburg Statistics & Analysis

Auerbach Auerbach
Sep 25, 2026 - 17:00
3 1.43
2 1.17
xG Accuracy: 52%
Eilenburg Eilenburg
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Auerbach Auerbach ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9569380

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Auerbach win · Auerbach 3–2 Eilenburg
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
  • Fixture: Auerbach vs Eilenburg
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Auerbach 1.43 — Eilenburg 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Oberliga - Nordost-Süd — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Germania Halberstadt 5 5 0 0 15
2 ZFC Meuselwitz 5 5 0 0 15
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 13
4 VfL Halle 6 4 0 2 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11
6 Dresden II 5 2 3 0 9
7 Weissenfels 5 3 0 2 9
8 Union Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 6
9 Einheit Wernigerode 5 1 3 1 6
10 Plauen 5 1 2 2 5
11 SC Freital 5 1 2 2 5
12 Budissa Bautzen 5 1 2 2 5
13 Krieschow 5 1 0 4 3
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 0 2 3 2
15 Empor Glauchau 5 0 1 4 1
16 FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Germania Halberstadt 5 19 3 +16 15
2 Eilenburg 6 19 10 +9 13
3 VfL Halle 6 15 11 +4 12
4 Union Sandersdorf 6 13 10 +3 6
5 ZFC Meuselwitz 5 12 4 +8 15
6 Auerbach 6 11 7 +4 11
7 Weissenfels 5 10 8 +2 9
8 Dresden II 5 9 4 +5 9
9 Einheit Wernigerode 5 9 9 0 6
10 SC Freital 5 8 9 -1 5
11 Plauen 5 7 7 0 5
12 Budissa Bautzen 5 7 12 -5 5
13 FC Frankfurt 5 6 23 -17 0
14 Empor Glauchau 5 5 12 -7 1
15 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 4 14 -10 2
16 Krieschow 5 4 15 -11 3
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Predictions