Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Süd / Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach

Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach Statistics & Analysis

Budissa Bautzen Budissa Bautzen
Aug 28, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.30
3 1.30
xG Accuracy: 44%
Auerbach Auerbach
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Budissa Bautzen Auerbach ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 22, 2026 · 03:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4935770

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Auerbach win · Budissa Bautzen 0–3 Auerbach
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
  • Fixture: Budissa Bautzen vs Auerbach
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-28 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Budissa Bautzen 1.3 — Auerbach 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Oberliga - Nordost-Süd — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Germania Halberstadt 6 5 1 0 16
2 ZFC Meuselwitz 6 5 1 0 16
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 13
4 VfL Halle 6 4 0 2 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11
6 Dresden II 6 2 4 0 10
7 Weissenfels 6 3 0 3 9
8 Plauen 6 2 2 2 8
9 Einheit Wernigerode 6 1 4 1 7
10 Union Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 6
11 SC Freital 6 1 3 2 6
12 Budissa Bautzen 6 1 3 2 6
13 Krieschow 6 1 1 4 4
14 Empor Glauchau 6 0 2 4 2
15 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 0 2 3 2
16 FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Germania Halberstadt 6 20 4 +16 16
2 Eilenburg 6 19 10 +9 13
3 VfL Halle 6 15 11 +4 12
4 ZFC Meuselwitz 6 13 5 +8 16
5 Union Sandersdorf 6 13 10 +3 6
6 Einheit Wernigerode 6 12 12 0 7
7 Auerbach 6 11 7 +4 11
8 SC Freital 6 11 12 -1 6
9 Weissenfels 6 10 10 0 9
10 Dresden II 6 9 4 +5 10
11 Plauen 6 9 7 +2 8
12 Budissa Bautzen 6 8 13 -5 6
13 FC Frankfurt 5 6 23 -17 0
14 Empor Glauchau 6 5 12 -7 2
15 Krieschow 6 5 16 -11 4
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 4 14 -10 2