Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Nord / Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Neustrelitz

Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Neustrelitz Statistics & Analysis

Eintracht Mahlsdorf Eintracht Mahlsdorf
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.21
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 72%
Neustrelitz Neustrelitz
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Neustrelitz Eintracht Mahlsdorf ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13189315

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Eintracht Mahlsdorf win · Eintracht Mahlsdorf 2–1 Neustrelitz
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
  • Fixture: Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Neustrelitz
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Eintracht Mahlsdorf 1.21 — Neustrelitz 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Oberliga - Nordost-Nord — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 BAK '07 6 4 2 0 14
2 Siedenbollentin 6 4 1 1 13
3 Lichtenberg 6 4 0 2 12
4 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 3 1 2 10
5 Optik Rathenow 6 3 1 2 10
6 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 3 0 3 9
7 Anker Wismar 6 3 0 3 9
8 Reinickendorfer Fuchse 6 2 2 2 8
9 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 2 2 2 8
10 FC Lok Stendal 6 2 1 3 7
11 Union Klosterfelde 6 2 1 3 7
12 Tennis Borussia 6 1 3 2 6
13 Hansa Rostock II 5 1 2 2 5
14 Sparta Lichtenberg 6 1 2 3 5
15 Makkabi 5 1 2 2 5
16 Neustrelitz 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Siedenbollentin 6 12 5 +7 13
2 BAK '07 6 11 5 +6 14
3 FC Lok Stendal 6 10 12 -2 7
4 Lichtenberg 6 9 5 +4 12
5 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 9 10 -1 8
6 Neustrelitz 6 9 16 -7 3
7 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 8 6 +2 9
8 Optik Rathenow 6 8 8 0 10
9 Reinickendorfer Fuchse 6 8 8 0 8
10 Hansa Rostock II 5 8 8 0 5
11 Anker Wismar 6 8 10 -2 9
12 Sparta Lichtenberg 6 8 10 -2 5
13 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 7 5 +2 10
14 Tennis Borussia 6 6 7 -1 6
15 Union Klosterfelde 6 6 10 -4 7
16 Makkabi 5 4 6 -2 5
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Predictions