Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Nord / FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg

FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg Statistics & Analysis

FC Lok Stendal FC Lok Stendal
Sep 13, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.24
0 1.36
xG Accuracy: 64%
Lichtenberg Lichtenberg
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Lichtenberg FC Lok Stendal ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7429205

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FC Lok Stendal win · FC Lok Stendal 1–0 Lichtenberg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
  • Fixture: FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): FC Lok Stendal 1.24 — Lichtenberg 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Oberliga - Nordost-Nord — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Siedenbollentin 5 4 0 1 12
2 Lichtenberg 6 4 0 2 12
3 BAK '07 5 3 2 0 11
4 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 3 1 2 10
5 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 3 0 3 9
6 Anker Wismar 6 3 0 3 9
7 Reinickendorfer Fuchse 6 2 2 2 8
8 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 2 2 2 8
9 FC Lok Stendal 5 2 1 2 7
10 Optik Rathenow 5 2 1 2 7
11 Tennis Borussia 6 1 3 2 6
12 Hansa Rostock II 5 1 2 2 5
13 Sparta Lichtenberg 5 1 2 2 5
14 Makkabi 4 1 1 2 4
15 Union Klosterfelde 5 1 1 3 4
16 Neustrelitz 5 1 0 4 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Siedenbollentin 5 11 4 +7 12
2 Lichtenberg 6 9 5 +4 12
3 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 9 10 -1 8
4 BAK '07 5 8 4 +4 11
5 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 8 6 +2 9
6 Reinickendorfer Fuchse 6 8 8 0 8
7 Hansa Rostock II 5 8 8 0 5
8 Anker Wismar 6 8 10 -2 9
9 Neustrelitz 5 8 13 -5 3
10 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 7 5 +2 10
11 FC Lok Stendal 5 7 8 -1 7
12 Sparta Lichtenberg 5 7 8 -1 5
13 Tennis Borussia 6 6 7 -1 6
14 Optik Rathenow 5 4 5 -1 7
15 Union Klosterfelde 5 4 9 -5 4
16 Makkabi 4 3 5 -2 4
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Germany. Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Predictions