Statistics / Football / Moldova. Liga 1 / FC National Ialoveni vs Oguzsport

FC National Ialoveni vs Oguzsport Statistics & Analysis

FC National Ialoveni FC National Ialoveni
Aug 07, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 56%
Oguzsport Oguzsport
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC National Ialoveni Oguzsport ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 01:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2671035

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Oguzsport win · FC National Ialoveni 0–2 Oguzsport
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga 1
  • Fixture: FC National Ialoveni vs Oguzsport
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-07 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): FC National Ialoveni 1.36 — Oguzsport 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga 1 Liga 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vulturii Cutezători 8 6 1 1 19
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 14
2 Iskra 8 6 0 2 18
2 FC Stăuceni 6 3 1 2 10
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 14
3 FC National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 7
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 9
4 Floreşti 0 0 0 0 0
4 Făleşti 6 2 1 3 7
5 Zimbru II 8 2 1 5 7
5 Victoria Bardar 7 2 1 4 7
6 Spartanii Selemet 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Vulturii Cutezători 8 27 14 +13 19
2 FCM Ungheni 8 23 16 +7 14
3 Iskra 8 22 8 +14 18
4 Univer Comrat 8 17 17 0 9
5 Zimbru II 8 14 20 -6 7
6 FC Stăuceni 6 10 7 +3 10
7 Spartanii Selemet 8 10 38 -28 1
8 Oguzsport 7 8 3 +5 14
9 Victoria Bardar 7 7 12 -5 7
10 FC National Ialoveni 6 5 6 -1 7
11 Făleşti 6 4 6 -2 7
12 Floreşti 0 0 0 0 0