Inter de Minas U20 vs Minas Boca U20 Statistics & Analysis

Inter de Minas U20

Aug 15, 2026 - 18:00

0 1.53

2 1.07

xG Accuracy: 51%

Minas Boca U20

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Inter de Minas U20 Minas Boca U20 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 03:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3365627

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Minas Boca U20 win · Inter de Minas U20 0–2 Minas Boca U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Mineiro U20
Fixture: Inter de Minas U20 vs Minas Boca U20
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.9%
xG (showing): Inter de Minas U20 1.53 — Minas Boca U20 1.07 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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