Inter de Minas U20 vs Villa Real U20 Statistics & Analysis

Inter de Minas U20

Jul 10, 2026 - 18:00

3 1.42

1 1.18

xG Accuracy: 62%

Villa Real U20

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Inter de Minas U20 Inter de Minas U20 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1489604

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Inter de Minas U20 win · Inter de Minas U20 3–1 Villa Real U20

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Mineiro U20
Fixture: Inter de Minas U20 vs Villa Real U20
Kickoff: 2026-07-10 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Inter de Minas U20 1.42 — Villa Real U20 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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