Statistics / Football / Germany. 2. Bundesliga / VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden Statistics & Analysis

VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.61
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 78%
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 VfL Osnabrück Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13192955

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. Bundesliga
  • Fixture: VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.3% · Draw 27.0% · Away 31.7%
  • xG (showing): VfL Osnabrück 1.61 — Dynamo Dresden 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.88)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.5%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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2. Bundesliga 2. Bundesliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hertha BSC 6 6 0 0 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 5 1 0 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 8
8 FC St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 7
9 VfL Bochum 6 2 1 3 7
10 Hannover 96 6 2 1 3 7
11 VfL Osnabrück 6 2 1 3 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 1 3 2 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 1 2 3 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 4
17 Dynamo Dresden 6 1 1 4 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 1 1 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hertha BSC 6 17 7 +10 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16 6 +10 16
3 VfL Wolfsburg 6 15 8 +7 11
4 1. FC Heidenheim 6 14 12 +2 13
5 Energie Cottbus 6 14 13 +1 8
6 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 12 13 -1 4
7 1. FC Magdeburg 6 11 9 +2 10
8 Arminia Bielefeld 6 10 12 -2 5
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 9 11 -2 6
10 VfL Osnabrück 6 9 12 -3 7
11 FC St. Pauli 6 8 8 0 7
12 Dynamo Dresden 6 8 14 -6 4
13 Hannover 96 6 7 9 -2 7
14 Holstein Kiel 6 7 10 -3 4
15 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 6 4 +2 11
16 Karlsruher SC 6 6 12 -6 5
17 VfL Bochum 6 5 6 -1 7
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 5 13 -8 4
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Arminia Bielefeld 6 7.5 3.5 +4.0 5
2 VfL Wolfsburg 6 9.8 6.1 +3.7 11
3 Hertha BSC 6 9.3 6.6 +2.7 18
4 Hannover 96 6 7.2 5.4 +1.8 7
5 Holstein Kiel 6 6.8 5.3 +1.5 4
6 1. FC Heidenheim 6 8.6 7.4 +1.2 13
7 FC St. Pauli 6 6.5 5.5 +1.0 7
8 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 10.6 9.8 +0.8 4
9 VfL Bochum 6 4.4 4.1 +0.3 7
10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 4.0 4.1 -0.1 11
11 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 8.0 8.8 -0.8 6
12 VfL Osnabrück 6 7.2 8.4 -1.2 7
13 Karlsruher SC 6 4.9 6.1 -1.2 5
14 1. FC Nürnberg 6 6.7 8.9 -2.2 16
15 SV Darmstadt 98 6 3.4 5.8 -2.4 4
16 1. FC Magdeburg 6 6.1 8.7 -2.6 10
17 Energie Cottbus 6 6.5 9.7 -3.2 8
18 Dynamo Dresden 6 4.0 7.2 -3.2 4
2. Bundesliga Germany. 2. Bundesliga Predictions