Statistics / Football / Wales. Premier League / Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay Statistics & Analysis

Flint Town United Flint Town United
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:15
0 1.22
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 64%
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13245462

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Colwyn Bay win · Flint Town United 0–1 Colwyn Bay
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Flint Town United 1.22 — Colwyn Bay 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 The New Saints 12 11 1 0 34
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC 12 9 1 2 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 25
5 Caernarfon Town 12 7 2 3 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 22
7 Cardiff MET 12 6 3 3 21
8 Airbus UK 12 6 0 6 18
9 Cambrian & Clydach 12 5 3 4 18
10 Llandudno 12 5 1 6 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 12
12 Haverfordwest County AFC 12 3 1 8 10
13 Flint Town United 12 2 2 8 8
14 Ammanford AFC 12 1 3 8 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 3
16 Holywell 12 0 2 10 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 The New Saints 12 38 5 +33 34
2 Caernarfon Town 12 35 14 +21 23
3 GAP Connah S Quay FC 12 28 8 +20 28
4 Barry Town 12 27 20 +7 25
5 Cardiff MET 12 23 13 +10 21
6 Penybont 12 22 10 +12 27
7 Colwyn Bay 12 21 15 +6 22
8 Airbus UK 12 21 17 +4 18
9 Llandudno 12 21 19 +2 16
10 Cambrian & Clydach 12 21 32 -11 18
11 Holywell 12 13 38 -25 2
12 Flint Town United 12 12 24 -12 8
13 Briton Ferry 12 11 20 -9 12
14 Ammanford AFC 12 9 32 -23 6
15 Haverfordwest County AFC 12 7 17 -10 10
16 Trefelin 12 5 30 -25 3